@article{99949, keywords = {Climate change, Neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), Malaria}, author = {Klepac P and Hsieh J and Ducker C and Assoum M and Booth M and Byrne I and Dodson S and Martin D and Turner MC and van Daalen K and Abela B and Akamboe J and Alves F and Brooker S and Ciceri-Reynolds K and Cole J and Desjardins A and Drakeley C and Ediriweera D and Ferguson N and Gabrielli A and Gahir J and Jain S and John M and Juma E and Kanayson P and Deribe K and King J and Kipingu A and Kiware S and Kolaczinski J and Kulei W and Laizer T and Lal V and Lowe R and Maige J and Mayer S and McIver L and Mosser J and Nicholls R and Nunes-Alves C and Panjwani J and Parameswaran N and Polson K and Radoykova H and Ramani A and Reimer L and Reynolds Z and Ribeiro I and Robb A and Sanikullah K and Smith D and Shirima G and Shott J and Tidman R and Tribe L and Turner J and Nery S and Velayudhan R and Warusavithana S and Wheeler H and Yajima A and Abdilleh A and Hounkpatin B and Wangmo D and Whitty C and Campbell-Lendrum D and Hollingsworth DT and Solomon A and Fall I}, title = {Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review.}, abstract = {

To explore the effects of climate change on malaria and 20 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), and potential effect amelioration through mitigation and adaptation, we searched for papers published from January 2010 to October 2023. We descriptively synthesised extracted data. We analysed numbers of papers meeting our inclusion criteria by country and national disease burden, healthcare access and quality index (HAQI), as well as by climate vulnerability score. From 42 693 retrieved records, 1543 full-text papers were assessed. Of 511 papers meeting the inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. Mitigation was considered in 174 papers (34%) and adaption strategies in 24 (5%). Amplitude and direction of effects of climate change on malaria and NTDs are likely to vary by disease and location, be non-linear and evolve over time. Available analyses do not allow confident prediction of the overall global impact of climate change on these diseases. For dengue and chikungunya and the group of non-vector-borne NTDs, the literature privileged consideration of current low-burden countries with a high HAQI. No leishmaniasis papers considered outcomes in East Africa. Comprehensive, collaborative and standardised modelling efforts are needed to better understand how climate change will directly and indirectly affect malaria and NTDs.

}, year = {2024}, journal = {Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene}, pages = {1-19}, month = {05/2024}, issn = {1878-3503}, url = {https://academic.oup.com/trstmh/advance-article/doi/10.1093/trstmh/trae026/7656506?login=false}, doi = {10.1093/trstmh/trae026}, language = {eng}, }