01963nas a2200241 4500000000100000008004100001653001400042653000900056653003900065653000800104653002500112100001300137700001100150700001600161700001400177700001400191245013200205856012200337300001000459490000600469520123200475022001401707 2014 d10aTreatment10aRisk10aNeglected tropical diseases (NTDs)10aMDA10aLymphatic filariasis1 aHooper P1 aChu BK1 aMikhailov A1 aOttesen E1 aBradley M00aAssessing progress in reducing the at-risk population after 13 years of the global programme to eliminate lymphatic filariasis. uhttp://www.plosntds.org/article/fetchObject.action?uri=info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pntd.0003333&representation=PDF ae33330 v83 a

BACKGROUND: In 1997, the World Health Assembly adopted Resolution 50.29, committing to the elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem, subsequently targeted for 2020. The initial estimates were that 1.2 billion people were at-risk for LF infection globally. Now, 13 years after the Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis (GPELF) began implementing mass drug administration (MDA) against LF in 2000-during which over 4.4 billion treatments have been distributed in 56 endemic countries-it is most appropriate to estimate the impact that the MDA has had on reducing the population at risk of LF.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To assess GPELF progress in reducing the population at-risk for LF, we developed a model based on defining reductions in risk of infection among cohorts of treated populations following each round of MDA. The model estimates that the number of people currently at risk of infection decreased by 46% to 789 million through 2012.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Important progress has been made in the global efforts to eliminate LF, but significant scale-up is required over the next 8 years to reach the 2020 elimination goal.

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