Editor's Abstract:
BACKGROUND: Emphasis is being given to the control of neglected tropical diseases, including the possibility of interrupting the transmission of soil-transmitted helminths (STH). We evaluated the feasibility by country of achieving interruption of the transmission of STH.
METHODS: Based on a conceptual framework for the identification of the characteristics of a successful STH control programme, we assembled spatial data for a range of epidemiological, institutional, economic, and political factors. Using four different statistical methods, we developed a composite score of the feasibility of interrupting STH transmission and undertook a sensitivity analysis of the data and methods.
FINDINGS: The most important determining factors in the analysis were underlying intensity of STH transmission, current implementation of control programmes for neglected tropical diseases, and whether countries receive large-scale external funding and have strong health systems. The composite scores suggested that interrupting STH transmission is most feasible in countries in the Americas and parts of Asia (eg, Argentina [range of composite feasibility scores, depending on scoring method, 9·4-10·0], Brazil [8·7- 9·7], Chile [8·84-10·0], and Thailand [9·1-10·0]; there was perfect agreement between the four methods), and least feasible in countries in sub-Saharan Africa (eg, Congo [0·4-2·7] and Guinea [2·0-5·6]; there was full agreement between methods), but there were important exceptions to these trends (eg, Ghana [7·4-10·0]; there was agreement between three methods). Agreement was highest between the scores derived with the expert opinion and principal component analysis weighting schemes (Pearson correlation coefficient, r=0·98). The largest disagreement was between benefit-of-the-doubt-derived and principal-component-analysis-derived weighting schemes (r=0·74).
INTERPRETATION: The interruption of STH transmission is feasible, especially in countries with low intensity of transmission, supportive household environments, strong health systems, and the availability of suitable delivery platforms and in-country funds, but to achieve local elimination of STH an intersectoral approach to STH control will be needed.
BT - The Lancet. Infectious diseases C1 -http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25886799?dopt=Abstract
DO - 10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70042-3 IS - 8 J2 - Lancet Infect Dis LA - eng N2 -Editor's Abstract:
BACKGROUND: Emphasis is being given to the control of neglected tropical diseases, including the possibility of interrupting the transmission of soil-transmitted helminths (STH). We evaluated the feasibility by country of achieving interruption of the transmission of STH.
METHODS: Based on a conceptual framework for the identification of the characteristics of a successful STH control programme, we assembled spatial data for a range of epidemiological, institutional, economic, and political factors. Using four different statistical methods, we developed a composite score of the feasibility of interrupting STH transmission and undertook a sensitivity analysis of the data and methods.
FINDINGS: The most important determining factors in the analysis were underlying intensity of STH transmission, current implementation of control programmes for neglected tropical diseases, and whether countries receive large-scale external funding and have strong health systems. The composite scores suggested that interrupting STH transmission is most feasible in countries in the Americas and parts of Asia (eg, Argentina [range of composite feasibility scores, depending on scoring method, 9·4-10·0], Brazil [8·7- 9·7], Chile [8·84-10·0], and Thailand [9·1-10·0]; there was perfect agreement between the four methods), and least feasible in countries in sub-Saharan Africa (eg, Congo [0·4-2·7] and Guinea [2·0-5·6]; there was full agreement between methods), but there were important exceptions to these trends (eg, Ghana [7·4-10·0]; there was agreement between three methods). Agreement was highest between the scores derived with the expert opinion and principal component analysis weighting schemes (Pearson correlation coefficient, r=0·98). The largest disagreement was between benefit-of-the-doubt-derived and principal-component-analysis-derived weighting schemes (r=0·74).
INTERPRETATION: The interruption of STH transmission is feasible, especially in countries with low intensity of transmission, supportive household environments, strong health systems, and the availability of suitable delivery platforms and in-country funds, but to achieve local elimination of STH an intersectoral approach to STH control will be needed.
PY - 2015 SP - 941 EP - 950 T2 - The Lancet. Infectious diseases TI - Global feasibility assessment of interrupting the transmission of soil-transmitted helminths : a statistical modelling study. UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1473309915700423 VL - 15 SN - 1474-4457 ER -