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Dengue seroprevalence and force of primary infection in a representative population of urban dwelling Indonesian children.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Indonesia reports the second highest dengue disease burden in the world; these data are from passive surveillance reports and are likely to be significant underestimates. Age-stratified seroprevalence data are relatively unbiased indicators of past exposure and allow understanding of transmission dynamics.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To better understand dengue infection history and associated risk factors in Indonesia, a representative population-based cross-sectional dengue seroprevalence study was conducted in 1-18-year-old urban children. From October to November 2014, 3,210 children were enrolled from 30 geographically dispersed clusters. Serum samples were tested for anti-dengue IgG antibodies by indirect ELISA. A questionnaire investigated associations between dengue serologic status and household socio-demographic and behavioural factors. Overall, 3,194 samples were tested, giving an adjusted national seroprevalence in this urban population of 69.4% [95% CI: 64.4-74.3] (33.8% [95% CI: 26.4-41.2] in the 1-4-year-olds, 65.4% [95% CI: 69.1-71.7] in the 5-9-year-olds, 83.1% [95% CI: 77.1-89.0] in the 10-14-year-olds, and 89.0% [95% CI: 83.9-94.1] in the 15-18-year-olds). The median age of seroconversion estimated through a linear model was 4.8 years. Using a catalytic model and considering a constant force of infection we estimated 13.1% of children experience a primary infection per year. Through a hierarchical logistic multivariate model, the subject's age group (1-4 vs 5-9 OR = 4.25; 1-4 vs. 10-14 OR = 12.60; and 1-4 vs 15-18 OR = 21.87; p<0.0001) and the number of cases diagnosed in the household since the subject was born (p = 0.0004) remained associated with dengue serological status.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This is the first dengue seroprevalence study in Indonesia that is targeting a representative sample of the urban paediatric population. This study revealed that more than 80% of children aged 10 years or over have experienced dengue infection at least once. Prospective incidence studies would likely reveal dengue burdens far in excess of reported incidence rates.

More information

Type
Journal Article
Author
Prayitno A
Taurel A
Nealon J
Satari HI
Karyanti MR
Sekartini R
Soedjatmiko S
Gunardi H
Medise BE
Sasmono T
Simmerman JM
Bouckenooghe A
Hadinegoro SR