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Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation.

Abstract

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many key neglected tropical disease (NTD) activities have been postponed. This hindrance comes at a time when the NTDs are progressing towards their ambitious goals for 2030. Mathematical modelling on several NTDs, namely gambiense sleeping sickness, lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis, schistosomiasis, soil-transmitted helminthiases (STH), trachoma, and visceral leishmaniasis, shows that the impact of this disruption will vary across the diseases. Programs face a risk of resurgence, which will be fastest in high-transmission areas. Furthermore, of the mass drug administration diseases, schistosomiasis, STH, and trachoma are likely to encounter faster resurgence. The case-finding diseases (gambiense sleeping sickness and visceral leishmaniasis) are likely to have fewer cases being detected but may face an increasing underlying rate of new infections. However, once programs are able to resume, there are ways to mitigate the impact and accelerate progress towards the 2030 goals.

More information

Type
Journal Article
Author
Toor J
Adams E
Aliee M
Amoah B
Anderson R
Ayabina D
Bailey R
Basáñez M
Blok D
Blumberg S
Borlase A
Rivera R
Castaño M
Chitnis N
Coffeng L
Crump R
Das A
Davis C
Davis E
Deiner M
Diggle P
Fronterre C
Giardina F
Giorgi E
Graham M
Hamley J
Huang C
Kura K
Lietman T
Lucas T
Malizia V
Medley G
Meeyai A
Michael E
Porco T
Prada J
Rock K
Le Rutte E
Smith M
Spencer S
Stolk W
Touloupou P
Vasconcelos A
Vegvari C
de Vlas S
Walker M
Hollingsworth DT
Year of Publication
2020
Journal
Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Date Published
09/2020
Language
eng
ISSN Number
1537-6591
DOI
10.1093/cid/ciaa933
Alternate Journal
Clin Infect Dis
PMID
32984870
Publication Language
eng